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Election
84.70%
2024
83.37%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.27%
-12.15%
-17.40%
+12.31%
-21.85%
-2.87%
-10.14%
-8.37%
-12.83%
+4.51%
-4.77%
-3.22%
2026
+12.00%
-33.93%
-21.62%
-17.24%
-41.67%
-7.14%
-7.69%
0.00%
-8.33%
--
2025
-11.36%
-17.95%
-62.50%
-20.00%
-16.67%
-12.50%
-2.86%
+5.88%
-38.89%
-45.45%
+51.35%
-37.50%
-17.14%
+20.69%
+38.57%
-27.84%
-25.00%
-50.48%
-34.62%
-22.06%
-16.98%
2023
-26.32%
+3.57%
-8.97%
+2.27%
-57.78%
-17.62%
-19.08%
-28.57%
+75.00%
-9.71%
-41.46%
2022
-16.25%
-23.88%
-10.78%
-5.93%
-15.89%
-15.28%
-9.84%
-9.09%
-8.00%
-6.52%
-4.65%
-7.32%
2021
-13.89%
+9.68%
-14.71%
+79.31%
-1.92%
-1.15%
+2.33%
-17.05%
+47.95%
-12.96%
-14.89%
2020
-4.60%
+2.41%
-27.06%
+38.71%
-12.79%
-45.33%
-24.39%
+3.23%
+7.81%
+1.45%
+28.57%
+60.00%
2019
+20.00%
+26.92%
-21.21%
-12.82%
+103.92%
-20.83%
+7.89%
+2.44%
2018
-40.38%
-38.71%
+27.37%
+5.79%
-1.56%
-42.86%
-9.52%
-24.56%
-2.33%
+20.37%
2017
+19.87%
-2.89%
-8.40%
-3.85%
-5.23%
-15.58%
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