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Election
81.99%
2004
78.88%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.97%
-0.26%
-1.56%
+0.86%
+1.12%
+2.49%
+0.30%
+0.19%
+0.07%
-0.88%
+4.44%
+1.05%
2026
+3.30%
+5.48%
-10.17%
+7.23%
+10.90%
+0.61%
-2.72%
+4.14%
-1.49%
--
2025
+0.59%
-0.29%
-1.17%
-5.04%
+5.62%
+2.07%
+8.12%
+0.54%
+8.27%
+5.91%
+0.47%
-1.85%
2024
-5.21%
+3.44%
+2.66%
+1.29%
+0.32%
+4.46%
-0.91%
+9.72%
-2.00%
-0.58%
2023
+10.21%
-4.36%
-2.42%
-6.28%
-0.93%
+5.66%
+1.79%
-6.14%
-3.43%
-4.52%
+4.73%
-0.97%
2022
-0.99%
-2.29%
-5.00%
-0.75%
0.00%
+3.16%
-7.74%
-11.08%
+17.08%
+1.22%
2021
+8.30%
-1.30%
+2.37%
-0.77%
-3.12%
-5.63%
+0.57%
-1.98%
+5.76%
-4.90%
+1.15%
2020
-5.80%
-3.99%
-13.58%
+10.92%
-1.57%
+9.20%
+1.28%
+4.16%
+0.87%
+4.82%
+11.33%
+4.87%
2019
+4.43%
+0.18%
+3.87%
+4.26%
-7.14%
+7.69%
-0.34%
-5.46%
-3.77%
+4.85%
+4.27%
2018
+1.34%
-3.96%
-4.81%
+3.25%
-3.11%
-1.79%
+0.36%
-2.54%
-7.06%
+4.80%
-0.95%
2017
+3.50%
+4.54%
+5.15%
-1.25%
+3.94%
+1.40%
+2.63%
+2.43%
-3.07%
+3.99%
+2.18%
+1.96%
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