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Election
53.28%
1996
81.86%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.08%
+1.34%
-1.93%
+5.51%
+2.90%
+2.53%
+1.38%
+1.00%
+0.32%
-1.18%
+4.30%
+0.79%
2026
+15.00%
+9.03%
-12.47%
+18.93%
+13.95%
+0.86%
-9.74%
+6.25%
-1.25%
--
2025
+2.27%
-1.54%
+1.39%
-4.11%
+4.46%
+4.27%
+6.23%
+4.17%
+9.93%
+5.53%
-4.34%
+4.14%
2024
-2.89%
+7.82%
-0.69%
+11.13%
-3.29%
+1.94%
-2.86%
-5.23%
+2.59%
-3.70%
-1.92%
+1.78%
2023
+14.53%
-6.72%
-8.64%
-3.15%
-4.70%
+2.47%
+8.52%
-4.95%
-2.33%
-5.88%
+4.49%
+3.36%
2022
-14.81%
-1.62%
+1.37%
-1.35%
-7.81%
-8.92%
+5.55%
-2.16%
-7.27%
-10.90%
+13.00%
-1.02%
2021
+2.12%
+2.86%
-7.58%
+11.34%
-3.07%
+7.59%
-5.65%
+4.99%
+3.80%
+2.75%
-0.33%
-2.68%
2020
+2.42%
-6.95%
-6.20%
+16.78%
+20.46%
+15.42%
+5.22%
+10.71%
+3.58%
+8.48%
+13.24%
+6.20%
2019
+0.52%
+9.79%
+2.03%
+5.21%
-6.71%
+2.50%
-2.44%
-1.56%
-0.79%
-1.12%
+4.53%
+2.17%
2018
+7.13%
-2.07%
+4.23%
+1.59%
+7.85%
-4.76%
+0.83%
-10.43%
+5.14%
-5.70%
2017
+4.52%
+2.77%
+7.30%
-1.26%
+7.84%
+3.93%
+8.13%
+2.97%
-1.36%
+4.65%
+4.93%
-1.10%
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