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Election
89.34%
1996
91.10%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.38%
-1.70%
-4.48%
+5.66%
+3.68%
-4.74%
-1.44%
+2.79%
-6.98%
-3.60%
+2.54%
+0.92%
2026
-3.49%
+3.20%
-15.00%
-5.88%
+4.37%
-5.39%
+11.39%
+7.16%
-2.01%
--
2025
-10.92%
-17.98%
+6.15%
+21.75%
-2.96%
+2.78%
-8.51%
-26.06%
-9.52%
-5.26%
+3.33%
+7.96%
2024
-1.65%
-5.63%
-5.81%
-10.45%
+4.97%
-9.29%
-1.61%
-2.04%
-18.33%
+17.35%
-15.91%
-14.79%
2023
+18.07%
+21.60%
+2.12%
+2.42%
-10.24%
-13.16%
-16.45%
+16.41%
+6.97%
-24.55%
+4.41%
+17.61%
2022
-13.33%
-5.24%
+10.45%
-3.57%
-14.30%
-16.83%
+22.77%
-7.69%
-10.71%
+3.50%
-4.83%
+0.17%
2021
-8.01%
+15.54%
+14.29%
+29.34%
+25.35%
-14.92%
-13.63%
+16.00%
-9.14%
+8.18%
-4.52%
-4.11%
2020
-24.80%
-31.78%
-63.14%
+3.18%
+21.67%
+8.48%
-8.20%
+13.64%
-19.23%
-6.61%
+35.33%
-3.08%
2019
+8.47%
+5.12%
+13.42%
+6.62%
-14.40%
+0.08%
+1.54%
-4.25%
-0.32%
-10.42%
+10.92%
-1.52%
2018
-7.72%
-10.82%
-6.69%
+5.62%
-6.44%
+4.49%
-13.10%
+7.08%
-2.46%
-11.51%
-4.28%
+2.23%
2017
-0.39%
+8.95%
-0.63%
+7.55%
+28.82%
-3.63%
+11.37%
+7.61%
-0.11%
-3.04%
-1.57%
+3.77%
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