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Election
81.64%
2021
94.07%
Probability %
Average return %
-8.18%
-7.18%
-0.10%
+12.41%
+4.55%
-5.14%
+6.39%
-3.07%
+2.94%
-0.46%
+17.13%
-3.03%
2026
-6.45%
0.00%
-13.79%
+32.00%
+30.30%
-2.33%
+28.57%
-1.85%
+3.40%
--
2025
-20.00%
-16.67%
+40.91%
-22.58%
+50.00%
-13.89%
-8.33%
-4.55%
+24.76%
+3.05%
+14.81%
2024
-3.23%
-18.33%
+6.12%
-7.69%
-6.25%
-2.22%
-20.45%
+11.43%
+7.69%
-7.14%
-6.67%
-9.34%
2023
+28.40%
-11.54%
+2.17%
+13.83%
-10.28%
+2.08%
-1.63%
-4.56%
-2.17%
-46.67%
+18.75%
+8.77%
2022
-11.67%
-9.43%
+6.25%
+0.98%
-12.62%
-17.78%
+14.86%
-14.12%
-20.55%
+29.31%
+12.00%
-3.57%
-16.42%
+12.50%
+26.35%
+12.56%
+4.91%
+2.13%
+39.58%
-11.94%
-2.71%
-5.92%
+28.89%
2020
-27.90%
-20.78%
-60.66%
+62.50%
+6.41%
+32.53%
+15.45%
-3.94%
+2.46%
+26.40%
-15.19%
2019
+6.79%
-8.13%
-19.64%
-15.56%
-19.74%
-10.66%
+46.79%
+37.50%
-2.91%
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