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Election
84.12%
2024
82.11%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.48%
+0.44%
-7.11%
+5.16%
-1.95%
+1.00%
-1.80%
-3.09%
+0.94%
-1.56%
+4.81%
+5.12%
2026
+3.50%
-3.76%
-17.97%
-8.10%
-3.63%
+10.22%
-2.93%
+11.56%
+4.05%
--
2025
-2.66%
+9.84%
-13.93%
+10.40%
+3.14%
+6.60%
-4.76%
-3.00%
+9.79%
+4.23%
+5.41%
+9.83%
-9.20%
+3.80%
+15.85%
+0.53%
-1.57%
0.00%
+4.26%
+7.14%
+2.86%
-8.33%
-10.10%
+5.62%
2023
+23.33%
-10.81%
-0.61%
+2.44%
+3.57%
-20.69%
+1.45%
-15.00%
-7.56%
-5.45%
+38.46%
+20.83%
2022
+5.10%
-9.06%
+3.91%
-1.37%
-11.46%
+0.76%
-7.92%
-24.18%
+1.08%
-3.74%
-16.67%
2021
-1.11%
+23.60%
-12.12%
+8.62%
+9.00%
+0.92%
-7.58%
-0.98%
-0.99%
-2.01%
+0.34%
2020
+2.83%
-10.65%
-40.38%
+30.97%
-4.93%
+2.59%
-14.14%
+2.35%
+10.34%
+1.04%
+19.59%
+16.38%
2019
+12.98%
-3.40%
+0.88%
-5.24%
+3.23%
-8.48%
+10.73%
+3.52%
+20.43%
2018
+5.53%
+4.37%
+0.42%
+2.92%
+7.29%
-1.89%
-5.00%
-6.88%
+6.52%
-7.55%
-0.66%
2017
-3.66%
-3.12%
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