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Election
87.26%
2024
93.75%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.82%
-4.35%
-8.01%
+5.63%
-2.08%
-1.68%
+3.80%
-5.33%
-6.01%
-8.80%
-3.06%
+10.36%
2026
-12.67%
-5.73%
-19.43%
+5.53%
+6.67%
-4.02%
+7.44%
-29.44%
+4.29%
--
2025
+15.28%
-1.20%
+3.66%
+6.47%
+28.73%
+6.01%
+5.67%
+6.51%
+10.07%
-11.44%
-8.49%
+20.97%
-28.20%
-15.77%
+2.51%
-1.69%
+16.67%
-18.80%
-2.33%
-16.77%
-25.50%
-70.62%
-34.66%
+25.22%
2023
+4.36%
-7.52%
+0.92%
-35.67%
+3.57%
+7.22%
-0.53%
-18.15%
-12.06%
-9.96%
+17.01%
2022
-8.82%
-5.23%
+5.90%
+5.65%
-3.50%
-28.08%
+5.86%
-3.99%
-5.24%
+7.56%
+17.97%
+4.04%
2021
+2.98%
+3.04%
+1.52%
-0.73%
-0.39%
-9.75%
+4.31%
+9.50%
-5.45%
-17.26%
-7.74%
+9.67%
2020
-4.10%
-4.07%
-50.10%
+19.33%
+1.90%
+16.92%
+16.29%
+1.86%
-10.95%
-6.35%
+13.72%
+7.01%
2019
+8.40%
-7.39%
+5.14%
-13.41%
+7.39%
-2.77%
-11.97%
+1.80%
+4.15%
-0.17%
+16.25%
2018
-4.94%
-11.10%
0.00%
+10.06%
-19.70%
+11.66%
-6.64%
-2.62%
+2.57%
+5.71%
-10.23%
2017
-1.84%
+1.99%
+24.29%
-3.94%
+3.34%
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