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Election
86.55%
2006
86.88%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.75%
+0.06%
-2.10%
+1.38%
+2.45%
+0.11%
+1.86%
-0.16%
-0.91%
-0.86%
+4.44%
-5.55%
2026
+5.40%
+4.75%
-11.07%
+5.55%
+4.09%
-0.36%
+4.10%
+1.72%
-3.58%
--
2025
+5.56%
+3.55%
-0.06%
-2.08%
+11.08%
+3.27%
-0.05%
+2.57%
+2.24%
+0.83%
+1.34%
-7.49%
2024
-1.81%
+3.02%
+3.74%
-2.87%
+5.76%
-3.36%
+4.58%
+2.87%
+0.39%
-5.65%
-1.14%
-21.94%
2023
+10.70%
-1.27%
+2.68%
+2.50%
-4.43%
+5.74%
+3.34%
-2.97%
-4.15%
-4.68%
+9.33%
-0.22%
2022
+0.44%
-3.14%
-4.83%
+4.08%
-9.10%
+3.40%
-6.96%
-9.18%
+7.11%
+13.07%
2021
-2.07%
+5.12%
+3.39%
+1.69%
+4.13%
-2.90%
-1.00%
+1.61%
-1.68%
+2.27%
-6.15%
-5.04%
2020
-5.09%
-9.08%
-18.83%
+6.81%
+4.42%
+3.54%
+1.74%
+6.19%
-4.22%
-4.66%
+21.38%
+2.63%
2019
+6.98%
+3.11%
-0.57%
+2.69%
-6.08%
+5.94%
-2.75%
-3.29%
+3.94%
+3.61%
+1.27%
+0.93%
2018
+4.50%
-5.73%
-0.39%
+1.76%
-1.82%
-1.51%
+2.18%
-2.67%
+1.35%
-7.92%
-0.59%
-14.46%
2017
+2.84%
+0.28%
+3.71%
+2.60%
-0.15%
-0.70%
+3.10%
+1.36%
+1.44%
-1.42%
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