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Election
88.46%
2004
89.74%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.93%
-0.75%
+2.09%
+2.81%
+7.29%
+7.30%
+1.71%
-2.51%
+2.30%
-2.86%
+9.50%
+1.65%
2026
+9.62%
-6.20%
+12.67%
+49.45%
+8.12%
+25.96%
-31.18%
-11.54%
-5.21%
--
2025
-2.68%
-19.43%
-9.34%
-1.39%
+15.03%
+23.70%
-2.87%
+18.24%
+21.99%
-18.52%
+4.03%
-2.94%
2024
+0.28%
-13.36%
-1.02%
-7.17%
+8.66%
+26.40%
-11.14%
-13.47%
-4.10%
-18.64%
-12.98%
-5.89%
2023
+38.55%
+16.91%
+3.66%
-11.22%
+33.18%
+16.36%
+9.35%
-4.16%
-15.14%
-21.80%
-2.53%
+4.35%
2022
-16.03%
+10.56%
+9.12%
-27.91%
+13.98%
-11.63%
+28.25%
-4.82%
-9.53%
-4.23%
+37.69%
-0.63%
2021
+17.58%
+7.68%
+11.45%
+1.07%
-0.22%
-2.46%
-4.63%
+28.95%
-5.39%
+16.80%
+12.54%
+20.61%
2020
+0.23%
-0.66%
-23.68%
+27.58%
+14.94%
+3.72%
+5.64%
-19.68%
-6.90%
+0.32%
+22.25%
+7.93%
2019
+17.02%
+0.91%
-4.28%
+5.82%
-30.34%
+1.48%
+6.64%
-4.61%
+11.63%
+12.17%
+11.84%
+12.38%
2018
-9.76%
-5.60%
+0.61%
-10.57%
-3.41%
-6.82%
+11.11%
-8.18%
-2.72%
-12.16%
+15.41%
-10.64%
2017
+4.47%
+1.64%
+21.68%
+2.39%
+12.99%
-3.68%
+5.97%
-5.86%
+30.86%
+20.29%
-2.74%
-10.31%
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