Ariel Focus Investor - Seasonality

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Ariel Focus Investor - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

93.90%

2016

93.98%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	50%	60%	60%	70%	90%	50%	56%	56%	56%	56%
Average return %	+3.46%	+0.29%	-2.21%	+0.75%	+0.73%	+0.92%	+4.58%	-0.03%	-1.20%	-0.06%	+1.52%	-1.78%
2026	+7.59%	+4.91%	-4.94%	+2.52%	-0.89%	+0.53%	+4.77%	+3.05%	-4.61%	--	--	--
2025	+2.96%	-3.23%	-3.53%	-9.43%	+9.63%	+5.49%	+7.47%	+7.92%	+4.12%	-5.02%	+2.19%	-9.09%
2024	-2.74%	+3.52%	+6.73%	-5.35%	+3.50%	-1.36%	+10.87%	-1.01%	+0.78%	+0.12%	+7.20%	-9.99%
2023	+7.42%	-1.58%	-5.08%	+0.35%	-5.68%	+7.74%	+5.11%	-4.66%	-6.06%	-6.16%	+6.02%	+7.82%
2022	-0.77%	+0.18%	+4.59%	-6.05%	+3.28%	-13.17%	+8.40%	-4.37%	-10.71%	+12.95%	-3.95%	-4.59%
2021	+2.09%	+8.51%	+5.15%	+4.90%	+3.13%	-3.86%	-1.03%	+0.58%	-4.27%	+4.76%	-7.36%	+4.66%
2020	-2.54%	-10.56%	-23.03%	+16.41%	+3.53%	+2.51%	+4.72%	+5.34%	-3.88%	-1.57%	+12.65%	+6.91%
2019	+11.26%	+1.94%	+0.08%	+4.44%	-8.51%	+7.97%	+0.77%	-5.11%	+3.70%	+2.17%	+3.72%	+1.02%
2018	+6.44%	-4.74%	-2.16%	+1.33%	+0.80%	+0.65%	+3.16%	+0.35%	+2.43%	-9.00%	-4.54%	-13.55%
2017	+2.85%	+3.93%	+0.07%	-1.63%	-1.51%	+2.68%	+1.56%	-2.42%	+3.08%	+1.17%	-2.24%	+0.81%

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