Popular Capital Trust II PFD GTD 6.125% - Seasonality

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Popular Capital Trust II PFD GTD 6.125% - Seasonality

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Correlation

2016

67.32%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	56%	70%	50%	60%	67%	78%	80%	57%	67%	67%	56%
Average return %	-0.67%	-0.01%	+0.31%	+1.00%	-0.25%	+1.30%	-0.15%	+1.18%	-0.62%	-0.26%	-0.13%	-0.19%
2026	+1.72%	-0.16%	-2.63%	+2.38%	-0.47%	-0.95%	+0.44%	+1.55%	-1.45%	--	--	--
2025	-1.83%	+0.56%	+1.93%	-0.27%	-4.62%	+0.53%	+0.81%	+0.36%	+0.76%	+0.04%	-0.79%	+0.20%
2024	+0.64%	+0.28%	+0.12%	-0.51%	+0.47%	-0.59%	+0.63%	-0.43%	+1.03%	+2.00%	-0.38%	-1.12%
2023	+0.32%	-2.29%	+5.02%	-0.69%	-1.09%	+0.67%	-2.22%	+2.63%	-2.29%	-0.68%	+2.12%	-1.49%
2022	-2.53%	+0.04%	+0.43%	+2.90%	-2.66%	+5.00%	+0.45%	-3.96%	0.00%	-1.31%	-2.15%	+0.72%
2021	+0.95%	0.00%	+1.49%	-0.43%	+1.13%	+6.77%	-6.67%	+1.20%	+4.05%	-4.81%	-1.58%	+2.19%
2020	-4.94%	-2.42%	-6.00%	+5.53%	+2.14%	-1.30%	0.00%	+3.28%	+0.89%	-1.65%	+1.13%	-2.82%
2019	+4.96%	-1.61%	+1.64%	+1.14%	-0.47%	+2.42%	+2.06%	+2.62%	-6.60%	+4.96%	-1.71%	+1.97%
2018	-0.88%	-0.76%	+1.26%	-0.62%	+5.05%	0.00%	+1.11%	+3.54%	0.00%	-0.16%	-0.77%	-0.70%
2017	-5.08%	+6.24%	-0.13%	+0.58%	-1.94%	+0.49%	+1.92%	+0.96%	-3.38%	-0.76%	+2.94%	-0.66%

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