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Consumer Cyclical
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Election
59.21%
2002
80.57%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.55%
+2.03%
-3.34%
+2.30%
+1.89%
+3.83%
-0.42%
+4.53%
-1.27%
-0.38%
+7.29%
+2.02%
2026
-13.55%
-6.54%
-2.28%
+12.42%
-13.64%
+2.79%
-5.96%
+3.77%
-5.98%
--
2025
-7.46%
-4.11%
-6.27%
-18.60%
+5.60%
+5.79%
+5.98%
-3.09%
-6.48%
+2.26%
+9.97%
+4.30%
2024
-10.35%
+0.74%
+1.54%
+4.24%
+0.39%
+7.80%
+2.84%
-3.20%
-2.71%
+3.62%
+1.43%
-6.03%
2023
+17.34%
-0.94%
+4.59%
+13.79%
-7.14%
+2.47%
-16.76%
+8.14%
-7.38%
-5.34%
+5.40%
+16.55%
2022
-12.70%
+14.54%
-7.93%
-8.49%
-0.25%
-5.38%
+9.53%
-6.05%
-6.57%
+12.90%
+6.75%
-4.74%
2021
-3.77%
+23.03%
-1.40%
-7.00%
-5.65%
-0.64%
-6.28%
+13.29%
+14.05%
-4.20%
-2.51%
+7.44%
2020
+5.23%
-12.98%
-18.05%
-2.66%
+32.37%
+0.38%
+4.03%
+26.16%
-6.26%
-8.95%
+20.62%
+8.27%
2019
+13.11%
+1.98%
+11.74%
-2.26%
+16.74%
+3.98%
+3.01%
+0.16%
+5.30%
+0.02%
+5.52%
2018
+11.32%
-0.32%
-5.48%
+12.54%
+9.02%
-0.96%
-3.56%
-1.17%
-1.74%
-10.11%
+11.27%
-12.16%
2017
-4.71%
+4.86%
+5.67%
+5.02%
+0.50%
+9.34%
+4.49%
+5.53%
+1.13%
+12.69%
-1.00%
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