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Election
68.88%
2008
78.55%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.10%
+0.53%
-3.51%
+1.20%
+1.68%
-2.78%
+2.80%
+0.22%
-1.32%
+0.84%
+5.53%
-6.14%
2026
+6.00%
+2.79%
-3.43%
+8.59%
+1.30%
+1.48%
+0.73%
-0.53%
-3.90%
--
2025
+2.01%
-4.37%
-6.55%
-8.90%
+10.73%
+0.16%
+1.25%
+8.24%
+0.64%
-1.34%
+2.65%
-10.34%
2024
-4.16%
+4.27%
+4.77%
-4.61%
+4.71%
-14.96%
+9.42%
-1.19%
+0.57%
-0.25%
+9.63%
-19.54%
2023
+7.83%
-1.08%
-5.34%
-0.51%
-3.35%
+4.80%
+5.85%
-4.02%
-5.44%
-5.29%
+8.04%
+5.82%
2022
-5.76%
+2.67%
+0.49%
-7.91%
+2.34%
-13.14%
+8.48%
-3.09%
-9.57%
+11.41%
+5.40%
-8.95%
2021
+5.21%
+9.78%
+4.08%
+3.47%
+2.51%
-4.57%
-3.42%
+2.40%
-0.41%
+6.80%
-2.58%
-6.09%
2020
-4.34%
-10.05%
-25.21%
+15.77%
+5.29%
0.00%
+3.23%
+5.03%
-4.08%
+3.52%
+20.00%
+7.51%
2019
+12.02%
+4.57%
-2.98%
+4.30%
-8.11%
+4.13%
-0.14%
-5.68%
+3.05%
+1.62%
+2.29%
+1.49%
2018
+1.58%
-4.89%
+1.22%
+4.01%
-3.20%
+1.99%
-3.11%
-9.68%
-20.96%
2017
+0.62%
+1.64%
-1.61%
-2.64%
-2.53%
+0.65%
-1.41%
+6.49%
+0.78%
+2.66%
-4.22%
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