13D Activist Fund - Seasonality

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13D Activist Fund - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Midterm

69.43%

2022

74.01%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	50%	60%	70%	70%	60%	67%	67%	78%	78%	56%
Average return %	+2.86%	-0.31%	-2.94%	+1.64%	+2.46%	+1.75%	+1.93%	-0.85%	-2.05%	+0.57%	+5.08%	+0.01%
2026	+2.47%	+3.10%	-5.20%	+10.92%	+14.25%	+4.61%	-1.67%	+1.39%	-3.31%	--	--	--
2025	+5.63%	-7.02%	-8.60%	-8.48%	+10.46%	+3.70%	+2.41%	+6.66%	-0.38%	+3.38%	-3.31%	-4.25%
2024	-1.38%	+1.98%	+3.75%	-5.03%	+1.20%	-4.42%	+7.51%	-3.75%	+1.49%	+0.19%	+7.00%	-10.56%
2023	+9.60%	-1.61%	-2.72%	-2.41%	-4.29%	+6.65%	+2.22%	-4.40%	-6.43%	-6.13%	+10.19%	+7.15%
2022	-4.63%	+1.19%	+1.65%	-3.83%	-1.33%	-8.60%	+5.26%	-6.48%	-10.74%	+10.20%	+5.34%	-5.17%
2021	+3.84%	+4.57%	+2.81%	+4.36%	+2.76%	-0.76%	-0.38%	0.00%	-1.53%	+1.20%	-6.23%	+7.82%
2020	-3.07%	-8.12%	-21.69%	+14.90%	+8.17%	+4.49%	+3.39%	+5.47%	-6.02%	+0.64%	+18.52%	+7.19%
2019	+10.81%	+3.24%	+0.44%	+1.46%	-8.46%	+8.82%	-0.96%	-4.58%	+3.88%	+3.39%	+5.99%	+5.04%
2018	+3.00%	-3.31%	-0.46%	+0.79%	+1.66%	+2.13%	+1.91%	-0.61%	-1.67%	-9.01%	+2.34%	-10.30%
2017	+2.35%	+2.89%	+0.64%	+3.74%	+0.20%	+0.91%	-0.35%	-2.17%	+2.99%	+1.25%	+5.90%	+3.14%

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