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Election
83.87%
2016
85.97%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.29%
-2.84%
+2.56%
+3.17%
+1.86%
+2.25%
+3.70%
+3.46%
-1.16%
-1.15%
+3.22%
+0.12%
2026
-14.72%
-11.38%
+8.02%
+0.77%
+2.30%
-6.14%
+8.55%
+7.29%
-4.14%
--
2025
+1.96%
-3.75%
-9.56%
+4.52%
+10.01%
-12.33%
+4.04%
-5.49%
-5.72%
-6.39%
-6.56%
+6.36%
2024
+4.20%
-1.05%
+5.61%
+1.38%
-0.50%
+4.88%
+4.97%
-0.75%
+2.05%
+0.94%
+12.45%
-2.80%
2023
+4.84%
+0.90%
+9.41%
-1.77%
-2.34%
+3.59%
-3.74%
-2.11%
-1.59%
+12.23%
+3.73%
2022
-11.99%
-2.08%
+2.81%
-15.17%
-4.51%
+4.57%
+11.25%
+1.97%
-9.76%
+8.72%
+0.55%
+0.29%
2021
+4.41%
-4.09%
+4.01%
+5.17%
-8.77%
+18.34%
+5.06%
+7.90%
+3.65%
+0.63%
-1.72%
+2.89%
2020
+4.89%
-7.79%
-16.77%
+22.36%
+13.09%
+11.16%
+6.48%
+8.20%
-6.51%
-5.65%
+10.29%
-1.37%
2019
+17.38%
+11.20%
+5.33%
+9.90%
+0.30%
-7.86%
-1.76%
-2.26%
+13.61%
-3.47%
+10.07%
-0.26%
2018
-0.18%
-6.70%
+7.94%
+3.50%
+0.85%
+9.06%
-1.85%
+9.72%
-3.14%
-3.82%
-10.06%
2017
+2.10%
-3.66%
+8.79%
+1.09%
+8.21%
-2.79%
+3.08%
+11.75%
-2.50%
+6.22%
-4.48%
+2.34%
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