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Election
74.54%
2008
74.88%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.70%
-0.40%
-1.01%
+0.95%
-5.56%
+3.42%
+2.17%
+1.45%
-3.03%
+0.47%
+4.25%
-5.55%
2026
-3.52%
-2.76%
-7.64%
+5.08%
-84.30%
+0.35%
-4.64%
+5.32%
-5.80%
--
2025
+2.48%
-2.18%
-8.08%
-5.73%
+16.62%
+5.35%
-0.42%
-1.74%
+0.91%
+3.30%
-1.37%
-33.69%
2024
+6.32%
+0.88%
-5.93%
+2.71%
+6.49%
-2.73%
+3.09%
+0.10%
-0.53%
+6.68%
-18.17%
2023
+12.01%
-4.73%
+7.90%
+1.58%
+1.53%
+7.75%
-1.58%
-6.77%
-3.07%
+12.74%
+6.06%
2022
-13.06%
-6.14%
+1.05%
-15.64%
-4.85%
-8.82%
+10.76%
-7.42%
-11.75%
+7.20%
+7.76%
-5.49%
2021
-1.33%
+4.11%
-1.20%
+8.30%
+0.02%
+9.00%
+4.40%
+2.64%
-5.87%
+3.47%
-2.70%
+1.61%
2020
-5.47%
-7.84%
+14.55%
+9.37%
+3.61%
+5.69%
+7.40%
-2.97%
-0.84%
+8.50%
+4.46%
2019
+7.85%
+3.90%
+3.84%
+4.15%
-5.16%
+6.65%
-0.23%
-0.68%
+2.30%
+3.55%
+3.37%
2018
+9.71%
-1.70%
-1.22%
+1.68%
+3.15%
+2.21%
+1.87%
+5.09%
-0.55%
-9.40%
+0.74%
-7.80%
2017
+5.94%
+4.67%
+2.23%
+1.43%
+1.60%
+4.28%
+0.77%
+1.84%
+2.35%
-0.32%
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