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Election
90.00%
2000
91.77%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.43%
-0.82%
-0.90%
+1.53%
+1.94%
+1.39%
+2.45%
+0.78%
-1.80%
0.00%
+3.74%
-5.82%
2026
+2.22%
-2.01%
-6.87%
+7.59%
+2.21%
+0.27%
+2.27%
+2.26%
-2.17%
--
2025
+4.24%
-4.69%
-4.10%
+8.86%
+3.89%
-0.45%
+1.60%
+0.45%
+1.75%
+0.59%
-8.04%
2024
+0.21%
+1.93%
-4.00%
+3.24%
+2.81%
+2.54%
+0.83%
-2.09%
+4.46%
-8.93%
2023
+6.93%
-3.36%
+3.90%
+2.38%
-1.21%
+2.85%
+2.07%
-2.59%
-4.21%
-2.03%
+8.77%
+2.78%
2022
-5.10%
-3.25%
+1.89%
-7.08%
-1.55%
-5.62%
+6.00%
-4.34%
-8.77%
+4.64%
+6.02%
-13.15%
2021
-1.66%
+3.85%
+2.74%
+4.67%
+0.29%
+2.58%
+1.12%
+1.87%
-3.32%
+4.70%
-3.12%
-2.28%
2020
+0.33%
-5.53%
-11.22%
+11.20%
+6.88%
+1.49%
+4.60%
+5.18%
-2.66%
+11.10%
+0.44%
2019
+7.52%
+2.42%
+2.77%
+2.55%
-3.51%
+5.10%
+0.96%
+1.19%
+2.72%
-2.10%
2018
+5.19%
-3.61%
-0.47%
-0.48%
+2.06%
+0.89%
+2.00%
+1.32%
-7.38%
+1.70%
-15.57%
2017
+4.43%
+2.86%
+0.98%
+2.14%
-0.39%
+3.08%
-0.05%
+1.14%
+1.88%
+1.38%
-5.50%
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