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Election
78.45%
1996
74.43%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.59%
-0.25%
-0.87%
+0.63%
+1.45%
+1.04%
+1.05%
+0.64%
-0.93%
-0.62%
+2.65%
-2.49%
2026
+2.34%
+1.70%
-4.18%
+5.74%
+2.48%
+0.68%
-1.64%
+1.50%
-0.80%
--
2025
+2.05%
+0.24%
-2.15%
-3.81%
+7.01%
+3.47%
-0.18%
+1.93%
+2.39%
+1.01%
+0.26%
-5.09%
2024
+0.10%
+1.89%
+1.95%
-3.09%
+2.58%
+1.28%
+1.07%
+1.74%
+1.71%
-2.75%
+2.83%
-4.66%
2023
+5.42%
-2.73%
+2.42%
+0.70%
-1.12%
+2.54%
+1.21%
-1.87%
-3.29%
-2.74%
+6.54%
+3.60%
2022
-3.55%
-1.86%
+0.05%
-5.60%
-0.40%
-5.20%
+4.64%
-6.60%
+1.57%
+5.41%
-7.28%
2021
-0.38%
+1.11%
+0.71%
+2.89%
+1.23%
+1.39%
-2.30%
+2.31%
-1.55%
-0.04%
2020
+0.38%
-3.42%
-9.08%
+6.94%
+3.70%
+2.90%
+2.71%
-1.47%
-1.49%
+6.90%
+1.91%
2019
+5.05%
+1.37%
+1.69%
-2.66%
+3.82%
-0.16%
0.00%
+0.55%
+0.98%
+1.79%
-0.96%
2018
+2.63%
-2.61%
-0.22%
+1.10%
-0.11%
+0.87%
+1.08%
-0.21%
-5.36%
-7.54%
2017
+1.76%
+0.58%
+1.09%
+1.19%
+0.28%
+1.12%
+0.72%
+0.82%
+0.97%
-2.35%
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