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Election
80.56%
2008
78.78%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.49%
-0.70%
-1.57%
+2.04%
+0.74%
+1.09%
+2.35%
+0.35%
-2.72%
+1.25%
+4.19%
-0.90%
2026
+3.68%
+2.32%
-5.88%
+11.60%
+3.65%
+4.63%
+1.28%
+1.17%
-21.15%
--
2025
+1.00%
-0.21%
+0.29%
-6.12%
+2.78%
-1.93%
+3.47%
-0.44%
+1.74%
+3.43%
-0.54%
2024
-0.36%
+2.66%
+4.83%
-3.37%
+2.13%
-1.86%
+4.45%
+2.30%
-6.37%
-1.70%
+5.63%
-10.91%
2023
+2.53%
-4.97%
-1.02%
+2.97%
-3.72%
+4.21%
+4.74%
-3.42%
-2.43%
-2.32%
+5.22%
+2.09%
2022
-0.41%
+0.33%
+1.48%
-4.21%
+3.21%
-7.24%
+4.89%
-1.30%
-9.41%
+11.14%
+5.20%
-3.02%
2021
-0.56%
+2.80%
+7.23%
+4.29%
+2.74%
-1.68%
+1.27%
+2.51%
-4.26%
+4.85%
-3.95%
+6.79%
2020
-5.43%
-9.93%
-18.52%
+10.99%
+2.60%
+1.75%
+0.89%
+3.53%
-3.06%
-1.76%
+13.17%
+4.05%
2019
+6.72%
+1.01%
+0.37%
-4.72%
+4.42%
+1.70%
-2.99%
+0.47%
+2.76%
+4.20%
+1.99%
2018
+4.69%
-4.73%
-3.17%
+1.32%
-1.04%
+1.37%
+0.80%
-0.55%
-3.96%
+1.46%
-9.67%
2017
+3.01%
+3.77%
+0.38%
-2.13%
+2.52%
-2.55%
+1.58%
+0.48%
+3.36%
+1.14%
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