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Election
68.32%
2008
74.36%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.40%
-0.11%
-1.17%
+2.17%
+4.92%
+3.48%
+3.04%
+2.38%
-5.18%
+0.93%
+4.83%
-0.88%
2026
-0.08%
-2.30%
-4.83%
+16.07%
+8.22%
+0.64%
-5.23%
+3.99%
-5.98%
--
2025
+2.25%
-4.97%
-10.51%
-8.84%
+21.65%
+8.08%
+4.59%
+1.05%
+3.18%
+3.76%
-1.48%
+1.27%
2024
+2.94%
+9.21%
-3.93%
+7.56%
+5.74%
-3.13%
+1.58%
-3.02%
+0.60%
+7.08%
+0.43%
2023
+12.79%
-0.91%
+7.00%
+0.07%
+7.95%
+7.71%
+5.25%
-1.72%
-6.63%
-2.38%
+11.60%
+5.33%
2022
-11.40%
-3.80%
+2.48%
-14.15%
-4.80%
-11.02%
+14.05%
-4.02%
-10.54%
+3.65%
+5.14%
-9.55%
2021
+1.17%
+2.39%
-0.45%
+5.69%
-1.45%
+6.66%
+0.56%
+4.32%
-11.16%
+7.72%
+0.41%
-2.47%
2020
-5.79%
-11.21%
+17.05%
+9.16%
+7.89%
+7.81%
+13.07%
-7.94%
-3.03%
+13.65%
+2.97%
2019
+9.73%
+3.42%
+2.63%
-8.12%
+7.17%
+2.02%
-2.21%
-5.70%
+4.05%
+5.66%
+3.15%
2018
+8.57%
-2.24%
-2.92%
+1.48%
+5.02%
+2.50%
+1.04%
+5.84%
-3.66%
-10.34%
-0.44%
-7.53%
2017
+4.85%
+3.89%
+2.67%
+3.32%
+4.00%
-0.58%
+3.45%
+1.86%
-1.14%
+4.30%
+1.89%
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