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Pre-election
81.96%
2007
83.12%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.42%
+1.50%
-1.70%
-2.89%
+0.88%
+3.61%
+4.33%
-0.35%
-0.57%
+0.21%
+4.93%
+0.19%
2026
+4.28%
0.00%
-7.48%
+8.70%
-1.81%
+8.96%
-2.30%
-4.42%
-4.58%
--
2025
+2.61%
+2.16%
-8.10%
-9.50%
+1.68%
+3.88%
+4.69%
+4.16%
-2.72%
-0.45%
+0.40%
2024
-2.47%
+10.29%
+2.74%
-9.87%
+3.33%
-3.18%
+10.69%
-2.59%
+0.92%
-8.69%
+13.15%
-10.02%
2023
+13.23%
+5.84%
-1.54%
-4.92%
+1.67%
+13.13%
-3.97%
-2.14%
-7.73%
-2.81%
+2.63%
+8.60%
2022
-8.21%
-2.58%
-1.80%
-15.78%
+5.40%
-0.62%
+23.97%
-4.37%
-5.92%
+0.28%
+1.66%
-4.26%
2021
+0.30%
+8.12%
+5.17%
+2.95%
+3.22%
-3.90%
+1.41%
+3.94%
-6.04%
+8.18%
+1.93%
+7.39%
2020
+0.65%
-10.40%
-8.82%
+7.79%
-0.16%
+3.55%
+2.91%
+9.82%
-0.89%
+1.53%
+13.16%
+2.40%
2019
+11.43%
+11.36%
-3.98%
-4.36%
-10.29%
+8.37%
-1.35%
-2.16%
+4.27%
+12.63%
+3.01%
+3.34%
2018
-1.31%
-13.58%
+4.09%
+0.61%
+12.80%
-2.49%
+9.65%
-1.11%
-3.37%
-10.22%
+6.67%
-5.24%
2017
+3.73%
+3.84%
-4.53%
-7.06%
+8.38%
-2.42%
+16.34%
+1.45%
+1.76%
-0.86%
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