First Trust Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (US33739P2020) - Seasonality

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First Trust Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (US33739P2020) - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

77.14%

2024

80.80%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	70%	70%	60%	70%	70%	70%	60%	56%	78%	56%	89%
Average return %	+1.40%	-1.50%	-2.06%	-0.39%	+0.69%	-0.56%	+0.93%	-0.89%	-1.60%	-1.51%	+1.78%	+1.23%
2026	+2.11%	+1.18%	-6.67%	+2.09%	+0.41%	-0.81%	+0.41%	+0.41%	-0.95%	--	--	--
2025	+2.35%	+0.30%	+0.82%	+3.24%	+1.15%	+2.85%	-1.97%	+2.72%	+0.89%	-0.03%	+0.75%	+0.85%
2024	-1.65%	-1.05%	-0.63%	-3.69%	+1.47%	-1.31%	+1.44%	+2.29%	+2.80%	-5.59%	-0.99%	-4.10%
2023	+5.49%	-4.73%	+5.00%	+0.32%	-1.01%	+4.25%	+2.20%	-3.68%	-4.18%	-1.33%	+5.92%	+3.04%
2022	+0.55%	-2.33%	-1.50%	-7.06%	+1.32%	-5.92%	-1.68%	-0.80%	-5.87%	-0.65%	+7.14%	+0.57%
2021	-2.44%	-4.26%	-3.26%	+1.28%	+2.10%	-2.05%	-1.49%	+0.03%	-5.07%	-1.78%	-3.34%	+0.78%
2020	-1.64%	-4.03%	-14.24%	+3.29%	+6.64%	-0.75%	+3.01%	-1.15%	-2.84%	+0.47%	+6.34%	+4.13%
2019	+3.89%	-0.31%	-1.20%	-0.63%	-0.74%	+3.67%	+0.96%	-3.38%	+0.71%	+0.81%	-1.43%	+3.33%
2018	+3.89%	-1.94%	-0.51%	-3.00%	-5.98%	-3.72%	+2.29%	-4.82%	+0.22%	-1.75%	+2.39%	+0.52%
2017	+1.44%	+2.16%	+1.61%	+0.26%	+1.51%	-1.79%	+4.14%	-0.52%	-1.07%	-3.76%	-0.74%	+1.93%

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