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Election
87.27%
2020
89.50%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.12%
-0.38%
-1.20%
+1.20%
+2.16%
+1.13%
+2.34%
+1.17%
-1.55%
+0.45%
+3.49%
-4.57%
2026
+3.81%
+0.79%
-5.92%
+7.27%
+4.20%
-0.06%
+2.51%
-1.01%
--
2025
+3.79%
-1.29%
-5.00%
-4.35%
+10.21%
+3.69%
+0.70%
+3.60%
+2.01%
+1.57%
-5.01%
2024
+0.07%
+5.08%
+3.57%
-4.53%
+4.39%
+1.63%
+2.00%
+2.03%
+0.32%
-2.05%
+3.40%
-14.91%
2023
+5.90%
-2.99%
+3.08%
+1.83%
+5.47%
+2.67%
-1.84%
-3.43%
-3.96%
+8.33%
+5.36%
2022
-4.95%
-2.19%
+2.24%
-8.01%
+0.49%
-8.17%
+6.94%
-4.16%
-8.25%
+7.95%
+4.47%
-4.70%
2021
-0.07%
+2.02%
+3.30%
+3.90%
+1.50%
+1.34%
+0.86%
+2.43%
-4.50%
+5.58%
-1.91%
-9.55%
-1.77%
-7.46%
-12.14%
+11.29%
+5.31%
+1.98%
+4.68%
+6.41%
-3.49%
-2.79%
+10.56%
+2.29%
2019
+7.87%
+2.37%
+1.02%
+2.66%
-6.07%
+6.27%
-1.96%
+1.54%
+2.14%
+2.80%
2018
+5.71%
-4.01%
-1.82%
+0.83%
+1.47%
-1.27%
+2.93%
+1.96%
-0.26%
-7.09%
+1.41%
-9.10%
2017
+0.82%
+3.85%
-0.29%
+1.08%
+1.65%
+0.38%
+2.28%
+0.74%
+2.71%
+1.93%
-6.55%
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