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Election
81.69%
2008
92.71%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.56%
+0.41%
-5.32%
+2.76%
+0.76%
-4.24%
-0.13%
-0.79%
-0.44%
+1.72%
+15.50%
+3.02%
2026
-11.11%
-3.02%
0.00%
+7.56%
+3.31%
+11.60%
-20.79%
-8.14%
-6.40%
--
2025
+31.62%
-10.43%
-13.10%
-22.73%
-1.55%
+15.09%
+25.14%
-20.09%
-12.30%
-23.68%
+9.80%
-2.97%
2024
-12.10%
+8.69%
+8.58%
-8.44%
-2.55%
+0.60%
+12.60%
-9.24%
-1.76%
+1.39%
-7.27%
-13.56%
2023
+17.29%
+9.75%
-25.31%
-2.63%
+0.85%
-5.63%
-4.18%
-24.77%
-11.59%
-12.18%
+33.87%
+6.97%
2022
-27.09%
-0.34%
+9.20%
-5.83%
-22.21%
-13.64%
+2.14%
+8.53%
-16.62%
+24.73%
+9.13%
-1.70%
2021
+45.04%
+25.26%
+19.19%
+14.69%
+15.37%
-11.72%
-16.80%
+3.75%
+23.66%
-6.22%
-9.95%
+35.16%
2020
-3.28%
-56.60%
+23.20%
+27.92%
-32.49%
+4.51%
+36.69%
+2.11%
+21.13%
+48.51%
+12.61%
2019
+13.86%
-4.35%
-8.18%
+22.03%
-14.81%
-10.95%
+1.60%
+6.32%
+6.93%
+14.81%
+41.13%
-4.29%
2018
-13.62%
-7.74%
+3.55%
+0.62%
+4.95%
-1.77%
-9.61%
+1.33%
-5.57%
-4.86%
-17.88%
-10.22%
2017
-5.00%
+9.46%
-0.82%
-3.73%
+6.47%
+4.05%
-2.33%
+11.16%
+0.36%
+32.14%
+5.14%
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