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Election
85.22%
2000
78.99%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.38%
-0.28%
-0.80%
+2.66%
+4.63%
+3.58%
+2.45%
+2.63%
-7.02%
+1.14%
+3.91%
-1.23%
2026
+2.27%
-1.29%
-4.69%
+18.66%
+9.99%
+1.87%
-6.47%
+5.40%
-12.12%
--
2025
+2.19%
-4.51%
-9.02%
-8.50%
+17.43%
+8.11%
+4.97%
+1.29%
+1.23%
+5.37%
-1.00%
-2.33%
2024
+2.95%
+6.80%
+2.88%
-3.67%
+7.28%
+6.83%
-3.68%
+1.18%
-8.09%
+0.15%
+5.08%
2023
+9.28%
-2.21%
+7.73%
+1.56%
+5.33%
+5.44%
+3.78%
-1.39%
-5.57%
-1.18%
+9.74%
+4.75%
2022
-9.59%
-12.72%
-3.56%
-7.59%
+9.10%
-3.53%
-12.38%
+4.82%
+6.74%
-7.96%
2021
+0.46%
+2.78%
+0.17%
+5.85%
-1.04%
+6.32%
+2.43%
+4.55%
-12.77%
-0.35%
-2.24%
2020
+2.50%
-6.10%
-10.15%
+15.37%
+7.21%
+7.80%
+11.66%
-11.13%
-2.65%
+10.74%
+4.91%
2019
+9.75%
+3.11%
+3.64%
+5.91%
+6.87%
+2.55%
-1.85%
-6.71%
+3.68%
+5.25%
+2.81%
2018
+8.25%
-1.63%
-3.24%
+0.85%
+6.62%
+1.40%
+1.30%
+6.56%
-4.05%
-10.56%
-2.45%
-10.76%
2017
+5.70%
+2.07%
+3.25%
+5.18%
+0.65%
+2.68%
+2.39%
-3.74%
+3.90%
+1.45%
+0.05%
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