First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (US33738R7952) - Seasonality

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First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (US33738R7952) - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

76.39%

2021

78.76%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	50%	70%	50%	70%	70%	70%	60%	56%	67%	89%	56%
Average return %	+2.30%	-0.61%	-4.41%	+0.27%	+2.15%	+1.96%	+2.24%	+0.73%	-1.92%	+1.41%	+6.96%	-1.09%
2026	+3.02%	+5.68%	-9.69%	+8.71%	+8.25%	+1.61%	-2.92%	-1.13%	-3.73%	--	--	--
2025	+2.50%	-7.41%	-9.01%	-4.14%	+10.54%	+0.51%	+2.25%	+7.24%	+1.10%	+2.25%	+2.99%	+5.01%
2024	-2.03%	+5.92%	+3.44%	-5.43%	+0.16%	+0.66%	+1.82%	+0.45%	+2.07%	+2.18%	+11.90%	-6.22%
2023	+12.85%	-0.60%	-3.89%	-3.57%	-0.57%	+14.19%	+4.70%	-5.71%	-4.36%	-10.39%	+9.88%	+8.42%
2022	-6.60%	-1.86%	+2.02%	-10.62%	-1.18%	-11.32%	+12.80%	-2.84%	-15.75%	+11.90%	+6.54%	-9.48%
2021	+1.39%	+6.47%	+8.68%	+1.03%	+3.64%	-1.39%	-4.80%	-1.08%	-3.72%	+10.38%	-1.62%	+3.23%
2020	-2.24%	-13.32%	-27.12%	+11.30%	+7.19%	+6.87%	+7.83%	+18.22%	-5.08%	+0.43%	+16.98%	+2.33%
2019	+9.01%	+1.36%	-2.30%	+4.67%	-9.73%	+8.25%	+1.17%	-6.45%	+2.08%	+2.90%	+4.34%	-1.13%
2018	+3.01%	-4.53%	-2.59%	-0.60%	+0.77%	-2.29%	+3.50%	+0.64%	+0.32%	-6.46%	+6.14%	-14.20%
2017	+2.07%	+2.16%	-3.68%	+1.32%	+2.43%	+2.54%	-4.00%	-2.06%	+6.06%	-0.50%	+5.45%	+2.25%

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