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Election
70.22%
2008
80.23%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.05%
+0.40%
-2.35%
+1.04%
+1.61%
+1.30%
+2.80%
-0.07%
-1.73%
+0.57%
+5.10%
-9.17%
2026
+4.00%
+4.05%
-5.42%
+7.75%
+2.32%
+3.43%
-2.42%
+0.06%
-2.67%
--
2025
+3.77%
-4.44%
-5.50%
-6.03%
+9.44%
+3.23%
+1.57%
+3.28%
+0.37%
-0.56%
+2.00%
-11.43%
2024
-2.66%
+5.86%
+5.48%
-6.09%
+4.26%
-1.83%
+5.77%
-0.18%
+0.88%
-0.82%
+8.70%
-16.76%
2023
+9.18%
-1.94%
-3.30%
-0.89%
+8.97%
-2.95%
-5.41%
+8.39%
+2.94%
2022
-7.33%
+1.02%
+1.36%
-7.20%
+0.69%
-9.84%
+10.70%
-3.14%
-9.40%
+10.44%
+6.02%
-13.50%
2021
+1.40%
+6.77%
+4.60%
+4.40%
+0.10%
-1.13%
+0.26%
+1.87%
-4.12%
+5.78%
-3.01%
-6.93%
2020
-2.72%
-9.54%
-20.42%
+14.11%
+7.22%
+1.01%
+4.52%
+3.45%
-3.47%
+2.13%
+14.23%
+3.52%
2019
+10.41%
+4.14%
-0.62%
+3.93%
-8.03%
+7.44%
+1.08%
-4.52%
+3.06%
+2.88%
-1.95%
2018
+0.81%
-0.35%
+0.22%
+1.66%
+3.11%
-1.27%
-9.65%
+3.09%
-27.00%
2017
+1.63%
+2.52%
-0.45%
+0.73%
-0.61%
+1.51%
+0.83%
-1.64%
+3.84%
+2.19%
+3.56%
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