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Election
85.84%
2020
88.90%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.09%
-0.37%
-1.11%
+1.67%
+2.55%
+1.52%
+3.07%
+1.33%
-1.64%
+1.01%
+4.41%
-4.08%
2026
+1.43%
-0.80%
-5.11%
+10.46%
+5.21%
-1.17%
-0.12%
+2.70%
-0.72%
--
2025
+2.72%
-1.34%
-5.77%
-5.82%
+12.03%
+4.83%
+2.20%
+1.98%
+3.43%
+2.30%
+0.22%
-4.42%
2024
+1.36%
+5.28%
+3.08%
-4.15%
+4.95%
+3.29%
+1.19%
+2.39%
+1.85%
-0.95%
+5.84%
-4.41%
2023
+6.28%
-2.47%
+3.42%
+1.53%
+0.40%
+6.20%
+3.20%
-5.05%
-2.10%
+9.08%
+4.21%
2022
-5.21%
-3.05%
+3.57%
-8.74%
+0.15%
-8.56%
+9.20%
-4.14%
-9.47%
+8.02%
+5.59%
-6.72%
2021
-1.01%
+4.31%
+5.29%
+0.67%
+2.04%
+2.33%
+3.00%
-4.86%
+6.97%
-0.74%
-0.13%
-0.06%
-7.52%
-13.37%
+12.80%
+4.81%
+1.57%
+5.62%
+7.16%
-4.17%
-2.68%
+10.95%
+3.25%
2019
+7.94%
+3.26%
+1.64%
+4.05%
-6.42%
+6.51%
+1.37%
-1.67%
+1.50%
+2.12%
+3.65%
-2.25%
2018
+5.65%
-3.70%
-2.75%
+0.31%
+2.38%
+0.24%
+3.66%
+3.23%
+0.17%
-6.88%
+2.01%
-21.66%
2017
+1.83%
+3.95%
+1.00%
+1.32%
+0.26%
+2.02%
+1.84%
+2.31%
+3.05%
-4.56%
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