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Election
83.02%
2008
78.42%
Probability %
Average return %
+9.40%
+4.55%
-0.59%
+1.02%
+8.17%
-6.74%
-4.52%
-2.37%
-7.58%
+85.61%
-12.01%
-4.19%
2026
+20.54%
+3.36%
+35.57%
-44.48%
+49.86%
-29.81%
-17.26%
+15.89%
-10.00%
--
2025
+18.06%
+7.46%
-2.22%
-12.37%
-2.74%
+12.00%
-3.27%
+10.78%
-22.29%
+806.00%
-40.83%
+23.33%
2024
-27.27%
+8.33%
+13.85%
+2.70%
+13.82%
-40.46%
+4.85%
-2.78%
-8.57%
-28.26%
-16.36%
-1.48%
2023
+15.21%
-10.39%
-15.99%
+1.12%
+7.01%
-13.79%
-8.00%
-3.91%
-15.38%
-8.02%
-11.05%
+7.84%
2022
+1.15%
+14.84%
-15.71%
-12.74%
+17.30%
+0.46%
-8.26%
+14.50%
-26.64%
+3.87%
+2.87%
-13.93%
2021
-2.91%
+11.25%
-2.25%
+41.61%
+1.30%
+1.44%
-20.06%
-14.43%
+3.46%
+16.07%
+17.69%
-29.25%
2020
+11.76%
+22.46%
-3.15%
+15.68%
+10.49%
+23.84%
+14.77%
-15.15%
+5.57%
-10.91%
-10.20%
-6.36%
2019
+46.15%
-6.14%
0.00%
+18.69%
-14.96%
-7.41%
-11.00%
-21.35%
+11.43%
-30.77%
-5.56%
2018
+2.04%
+1.33%
-5.92%
-2.80%
+2.88%
-3.50%
-5.80%
-5.45%
-9.62%
-10.64%
-7.14%
2017
+9.23%
-7.04%
-10.10%
+2.81%
-3.28%
-10.17%
+8.81%
+8.09%
+1.07%
-10.05%
-8.82%
-5.16%
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