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Election
62.80%
2013
81.00%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.21%
+8.63%
-3.27%
-3.23%
+4.92%
-0.67%
+2.41%
+6.76%
-0.72%
-5.40%
+0.51%
+3.84%
2026
-13.54%
-5.12%
+17.46%
+28.11%
-13.50%
-38.54%
+4.76%
+6.44%
-10.68%
--
2025
-5.46%
+6.07%
-13.08%
+4.08%
-1.51%
-0.31%
+11.35%
+1.93%
-6.76%
+15.94%
-15.75%
+13.95%
2024
-5.10%
+9.97%
-7.91%
-36.36%
-13.69%
-1.15%
-9.07%
-14.32%
+5.37%
+0.28%
+12.43%
-8.04%
2023
+20.44%
-19.50%
-12.54%
-10.42%
+32.18%
+15.68%
-8.32%
+7.13%
+2.18%
-27.84%
+13.63%
+19.08%
2022
-31.34%
+8.49%
-22.85%
-24.61%
-9.46%
+16.93%
+10.19%
-15.95%
-3.91%
-30.71%
-13.29%
2021
-4.94%
+37.87%
+2.87%
+39.18%
-2.32%
+9.11%
-4.24%
+9.09%
+6.08%
+1.70%
+19.99%
+22.40%
2020
-15.96%
-3.38%
-26.20%
-5.62%
+31.03%
+22.01%
+0.39%
+20.51%
+1.46%
+4.31%
+5.51%
+23.37%
2019
+48.06%
+4.41%
-9.43%
-7.77%
+7.79%
-7.03%
+1.89%
+8.45%
-7.22%
+11.27%
+3.87%
2018
+10.78%
+4.59%
-3.36%
-10.16%
+23.51%
-6.75%
+21.96%
+28.60%
-1.81%
-1.93%
-9.67%
-31.82%
2017
+9.12%
+42.94%
+42.34%
-18.70%
-3.66%
-5.06%
-2.67%
-5.50%
-29.96%
-2.15%
+5.03%
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