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Election
76.25%
2020
76.00%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.75%
-0.49%
-0.97%
+1.15%
+3.96%
+2.64%
+3.65%
+1.78%
-1.85%
+0.22%
+4.23%
-8.16%
2026
-2.74%
-5.21%
-4.83%
+13.82%
+7.22%
-2.54%
-2.18%
+3.35%
-0.26%
--
2025
+3.04%
-2.99%
-8.74%
-8.28%
+19.32%
+9.00%
+4.34%
-0.72%
+4.57%
+1.92%
-1.37%
-11.62%
2024
+3.64%
+6.50%
+2.16%
-5.38%
+5.76%
+5.63%
-0.41%
+2.91%
+2.63%
+4.91%
-11.48%
2023
+8.55%
-1.11%
+6.23%
+0.15%
+4.47%
+6.16%
+4.12%
-1.65%
-5.27%
-2.01%
+10.70%
-4.07%
2022
-9.50%
-4.00%
+1.86%
-13.85%
-4.19%
-9.77%
+11.44%
-5.13%
-10.05%
+5.32%
+6.84%
-5.94%
2021
-1.63%
+2.76%
+0.73%
+8.07%
-0.69%
+5.02%
+4.30%
+2.74%
-5.29%
+5.20%
-0.33%
-8.90%
+2.96%
-6.52%
-9.18%
+13.78%
+6.26%
+4.71%
+6.68%
+10.37%
-4.34%
-2.44%
+9.64%
-3.69%
2019
+9.16%
+4.29%
+2.04%
+4.63%
-4.88%
+6.54%
+2.65%
+0.41%
+1.23%
+4.28%
-4.42%
2018
+8.57%
-1.91%
-1.58%
+0.03%
+4.13%
+1.39%
+2.72%
+3.92%
+0.44%
-9.56%
+1.54%
-14.48%
2017
+5.46%
+3.28%
+1.61%
-1.45%
+2.24%
+0.26%
+2.83%
+1.62%
+1.03%
-8.82%
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