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Election
76.82%
2020
79.24%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.29%
-4.23%
-0.48%
+2.85%
-3.13%
-0.76%
+2.69%
-4.10%
-3.23%
+1.55%
+0.72%
-0.33%
2026
-2.10%
+3.66%
-8.61%
+0.76%
+5.96%
-1.62%
+9.44%
-0.70%
-4.83%
--
2025
-2.83%
+2.92%
-0.91%
-4.37%
-8.14%
-3.40%
+6.35%
+1.86%
-6.90%
-5.03%
+3.15%
-4.94%
2024
+0.41%
-4.98%
+4.59%
+4.63%
-8.39%
-8.91%
+9.28%
+0.62%
-0.90%
-4.70%
-4.45%
-3.94%
2023
-0.44%
-3.92%
-0.69%
-2.67%
-7.12%
+1.92%
-8.54%
+1.66%
-6.48%
+11.60%
+5.33%
2022
-0.28%
+9.55%
+0.43%
+8.23%
-11.26%
+0.82%
-3.43%
-10.83%
+15.35%
+2.29%
+3.46%
2021
-3.32%
+8.56%
+9.95%
+3.22%
+5.57%
-6.45%
-5.66%
+2.31%
-2.53%
-6.35%
+6.81%
-9.12%
-15.17%
-0.12%
+22.59%
+0.46%
+4.66%
+7.81%
-14.53%
+2.14%
+7.68%
+5.22%
2019
+11.66%
-30.94%
-1.63%
+1.81%
-16.82%
+12.26%
+3.13%
-20.27%
+9.48%
+15.71%
+5.34%
2018
+0.81%
-14.47%
-7.10%
-9.49%
+1.95%
+9.29%
-4.09%
-3.29%
-5.42%
-0.25%
-7.00%
-15.81%
2017
+2.26%
+2.49%
-0.46%
+2.00%
-7.11%
+2.13%
-7.67%
-3.96%
-4.44%
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