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Election
75.83%
2008
80.53%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.38%
-0.25%
-1.19%
+1.58%
+2.65%
+1.28%
+1.34%
+0.62%
-1.46%
-0.26%
+3.53%
-0.74%
2026
+3.09%
+3.38%
-9.97%
+7.27%
+2.08%
+1.94%
-5.34%
+0.69%
-2.58%
--
2025
+5.77%
+2.00%
-2.93%
-1.40%
+11.03%
+2.09%
-2.89%
+2.79%
+4.48%
+1.77%
-1.59%
-6.19%
2024
+1.05%
+4.27%
+2.48%
-5.21%
+4.20%
+0.65%
+1.87%
+5.37%
+0.58%
-5.27%
+1.45%
-4.75%
2023
+8.00%
-3.36%
+5.75%
+2.23%
-4.07%
+3.68%
+1.47%
-4.29%
-5.50%
-2.55%
+9.11%
+3.03%
2022
-8.41%
-5.39%
+0.18%
-7.47%
+0.34%
-7.60%
+8.27%
-6.81%
-9.14%
+7.02%
+11.22%
-3.74%
2021
-1.71%
+1.63%
-3.34%
+4.31%
+2.94%
-0.51%
+0.63%
+2.21%
-4.71%
2020
-1.83%
-6.26%
-10.37%
+7.99%
+5.95%
+5.50%
+4.55%
+4.57%
-0.52%
-3.42%
+12.35%
+6.15%
2019
+6.63%
+4.04%
+2.97%
+3.54%
-3.92%
-0.81%
-0.22%
+0.44%
+2.82%
+1.70%
+3.63%
2018
+6.61%
-3.43%
-0.40%
+0.81%
+2.73%
-1.37%
+1.54%
+0.02%
-9.24%
+1.13%
-6.71%
2017
+4.64%
+0.59%
+3.77%
+3.74%
+5.20%
+1.44%
+4.11%
+2.63%
+1.81%
+2.29%
+1.10%
+0.07%
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