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Election
82.84%
2000
90.01%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.95%
+0.94%
-2.14%
+2.56%
+4.10%
+4.95%
-1.67%
+0.70%
-0.70%
-1.47%
+5.07%
-4.32%
2026
+9.02%
+8.44%
-8.79%
+28.12%
+19.03%
+1.73%
-17.38%
+3.61%
-1.57%
--
2025
+1.61%
-0.38%
-6.75%
+10.65%
+7.35%
+4.18%
+4.34%
+9.26%
+1.38%
-5.91%
+1.81%
2024
-2.25%
+7.55%
+1.97%
-0.25%
+3.20%
+4.08%
-1.96%
+0.40%
+6.69%
-2.31%
+0.76%
-1.90%
2023
+10.96%
-10.52%
+3.21%
-5.00%
-2.36%
+2.79%
+6.33%
-6.47%
-4.73%
-3.72%
+8.53%
+1.55%
2022
-5.36%
-6.22%
-8.66%
-4.38%
+0.27%
+4.37%
-3.99%
+0.48%
-11.45%
-10.79%
+22.81%
-21.02%
2021
+6.74%
+0.98%
-7.89%
+1.89%
+0.41%
+3.39%
-10.77%
+3.56%
-3.90%
+4.14%
-23.15%
2020
-1.24%
+2.44%
-9.51%
+11.41%
+8.15%
+15.14%
+6.82%
+7.40%
-0.71%
+1.90%
+13.01%
+10.15%
2019
+7.10%
+5.72%
+3.45%
+1.14%
-7.95%
+9.20%
-2.09%
-1.75%
-0.08%
+4.81%
+1.78%
+5.82%
2018
+7.61%
-5.30%
+2.21%
-3.65%
+4.28%
-3.16%
-3.06%
-5.24%
-2.57%
-13.05%
+8.22%
-7.02%
2017
+6.24%
+4.75%
+2.94%
+3.11%
+5.28%
+4.62%
+5.25%
+0.65%
+1.15%
+4.40%
+1.77%
-5.15%
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