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Election
87.59%
2012
88.31%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.25%
-2.58%
-8.57%
-2.18%
+17.23%
+3.99%
+4.98%
+7.04%
-12.93%
+3.55%
+5.91%
-0.59%
2026
-24.52%
-4.31%
-19.22%
-14.94%
+9.52%
+4.62%
+7.27%
+9.93%
+5.07%
--
2025
-9.56%
-3.45%
-9.52%
-9.47%
-6.54%
-4.98%
+17.68%
-1.25%
-1.69%
+9.60%
-10.07%
-1.60%
2024
-11.74%
+5.43%
-5.64%
-20.00%
+16.07%
-3.08%
+7.50%
-8.19%
-13.60%
+15.91%
+35.04%
+4.00%
2023
+39.21%
+24.29%
-29.11%
+12.32%
+53.00%
+12.80%
+22.09%
-8.05%
-1.75%
-10.01%
+18.45%
+12.87%
2022
-17.88%
+1.81%
-6.73%
-16.14%
-1.01%
-11.25%
-1.44%
+3.22%
-18.70%
+3.14%
+9.80%
-14.46%
2021
+8.15%
+0.92%
+3.94%
-5.83%
+10.21%
+17.03%
-2.00%
+20.39%
-58.94%
+13.04%
+2.34%
-13.84%
2020
-2.64%
-12.47%
-45.98%
+12.89%
-8.88%
+50.42%
+2.59%
+22.74%
-6.47%
-16.35%
+26.13%
+35.32%
2019
+47.49%
+13.64%
+17.00%
-31.62%
+89.58%
-10.99%
+29.63%
-1.90%
-4.85%
+15.71%
+28.57%
+3.98%
2018
+32.83%
-57.67%
+17.79%
+2.56%
-24.11%
-33.49%
+24.71%
+16.60%
-48.28%
-40.53%
2017
-8.80%
+6.06%
+11.20%
+33.16%
+7.80%
+9.43%
-0.07%
+8.76%
-26.98%
+6.73%
-8.75%
+8.99%
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