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Election
77.12%
1998
93.02%
Probability %
Average return %
+6.22%
+1.28%
-7.83%
+3.82%
-7.53%
-5.64%
-1.24%
-6.42%
-4.84%
-3.22%
+1.48%
+2.20%
2026
+2.53%
-11.33%
-21.11%
-21.13%
-16.96%
-29.03%
-4.24%
-38.26%
-1.00%
--
2025
+3.54%
+16.79%
-21.76%
-27.32%
-19.91%
-2.23%
+6.00%
-10.24%
-13.51%
-27.08%
-13.81%
+9.39%
2024
-10.76%
+8.51%
+8.39%
+1.81%
-6.22%
-10.11%
-10.77%
-21.26%
+12.83%
-3.69%
-5.37%
+5.35%
2023
+9.36%
-15.32%
-9.28%
-0.51%
-11.00%
-6.81%
+10.29%
+2.13%
-5.61%
-7.46%
+20.65%
-1.04%
2022
+1.33%
+10.04%
+4.34%
+14.77%
-7.75%
-10.97%
+21.37%
+1.63%
-24.17%
+9.11%
+2.83%
-15.65%
2021
+10.24%
+36.02%
-6.38%
+14.59%
-10.01%
-14.08%
-8.78%
-2.15%
+1.85%
-7.08%
-0.65%
+12.06%
2020
-10.49%
-19.53%
-18.28%
+39.23%
-19.94%
+1.12%
-8.70%
+12.48%
-21.24%
-4.70%
+30.21%
+25.15%
2019
+41.48%
-3.05%
-5.66%
+4.81%
+1.20%
+7.96%
-15.77%
-7.60%
+4.15%
-2.71%
+2.70%
-1.84%
2018
+2.80%
-10.20%
-5.68%
+7.63%
+19.78%
+9.03%
+2.57%
-1.39%
-5.08%
-9.46%
-14.71%
2017
+12.21%
+0.84%
-2.90%
+4.27%
-4.51%
-1.29%
-4.35%
+0.45%
+7.24%
+24.05%
-3.74%
+1.06%
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