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Election
50.50%
2008
79.74%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.86%
+0.99%
-2.28%
+0.55%
+2.24%
+1.45%
+2.72%
+0.01%
-1.78%
+0.56%
+4.54%
-4.17%
2026
+3.80%
+5.63%
-5.57%
+6.09%
+4.80%
+3.01%
-4.91%
+0.97%
-2.70%
--
2025
+3.57%
-5.69%
-6.58%
-7.25%
+13.92%
+3.23%
+2.01%
+2.19%
+0.85%
+0.14%
+1.02%
-3.57%
2024
-0.54%
+9.57%
+5.60%
-6.15%
+3.11%
-0.57%
+4.04%
-0.93%
+1.00%
-1.49%
+8.53%
-8.49%
2023
+6.93%
-0.98%
-1.28%
-0.65%
-2.93%
+8.52%
+3.74%
-2.22%
-4.94%
-4.99%
+7.40%
+7.21%
2022
-10.55%
+0.82%
+0.35%
-7.73%
-0.94%
-10.08%
+12.50%
-3.53%
-9.00%
+9.23%
+5.57%
-9.12%
2021
+1.72%
+3.93%
+2.25%
+3.96%
-1.91%
+0.90%
+1.27%
-4.42%
+7.35%
-3.77%
-17.62%
2020
-1.38%
-6.68%
-18.66%
+13.82%
+8.64%
+1.23%
+5.93%
+3.13%
-2.52%
+1.01%
+12.34%
+3.44%
2019
+9.22%
+4.32%
+0.50%
+3.18%
-6.52%
+6.90%
+1.10%
-3.24%
+1.13%
+0.78%
+2.32%
2018
+4.10%
-4.10%
+0.79%
-1.25%
+3.85%
+0.32%
+1.20%
+3.67%
-1.36%
-10.27%
+3.24%
-11.40%
2017
+1.78%
+3.07%
-0.21%
+1.49%
+1.03%
+0.71%
-1.17%
+3.27%
+3.32%
+3.52%
-0.28%
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