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Election
70.00%
1996
64.59%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.60%
-0.26%
-1.27%
+1.90%
+4.38%
+3.04%
+2.76%
+1.63%
-2.23%
+1.03%
+4.67%
-14.85%
2026
-2.62%
-3.74%
-6.43%
+13.10%
+6.31%
+0.11%
-4.42%
+2.14%
-0.66%
--
2025
+3.25%
-2.84%
-8.56%
-7.88%
+22.06%
+7.21%
+1.23%
-0.94%
+2.93%
+4.77%
-3.06%
-20.60%
2024
+4.00%
+7.04%
+1.30%
-5.12%
+7.43%
-2.49%
+2.27%
+2.50%
-0.81%
+7.00%
-18.86%
2023
+7.29%
-2.26%
+5.99%
+1.41%
+5.70%
+5.28%
+3.42%
-1.10%
-5.68%
+13.35%
-5.26%
2022
-10.86%
-4.51%
+2.21%
-12.49%
-4.04%
-7.38%
+11.50%
-6.01%
-9.89%
+7.50%
+7.47%
-18.89%
2021
-1.76%
+2.91%
-0.25%
+7.74%
-2.47%
+6.34%
+3.56%
-5.08%
+7.96%
-0.60%
-21.17%
2020
-5.79%
-8.65%
+13.82%
+7.88%
+4.36%
+6.41%
+10.50%
-4.88%
+9.12%
-1.49%
2019
+9.47%
+4.74%
+2.49%
+3.64%
-5.43%
+6.64%
+1.58%
-0.62%
-1.46%
+1.80%
+4.28%
-8.20%
2018
+10.28%
-2.00%
-1.84%
+1.25%
+5.25%
+0.78%
+2.23%
+1.36%
-10.76%
+1.91%
-23.96%
2017
+5.34%
+3.89%
+1.02%
+3.48%
+3.80%
-0.42%
+3.36%
+2.13%
+0.10%
+2.59%
-15.26%
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