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Election
90.23%
2006
87.69%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.26%
-0.23%
-1.12%
+1.45%
+2.35%
+0.57%
+1.87%
+0.39%
-1.37%
-0.64%
+3.57%
-1.29%
2026
+5.74%
+4.99%
-8.94%
+5.41%
+2.11%
+1.39%
+2.25%
+1.27%
-2.75%
--
2025
+3.92%
+2.04%
-0.98%
-1.59%
+10.19%
+2.21%
-2.82%
+2.31%
+2.06%
+0.76%
+1.02%
-3.41%
2024
-0.82%
+3.36%
-3.04%
+5.01%
-1.53%
+3.20%
+3.44%
+0.41%
-4.72%
-0.51%
-5.37%
2023
+7.85%
-3.52%
+2.87%
+3.12%
-4.08%
+1.98%
-2.80%
-4.74%
-3.02%
+7.49%
+2.85%
2022
-5.36%
-3.31%
-1.04%
-6.28%
+1.75%
-8.02%
+5.39%
-5.56%
-9.69%
+4.44%
+13.04%
2021
-1.64%
+1.53%
+2.32%
+2.94%
+4.24%
-1.74%
+1.22%
+2.92%
-3.85%
+3.71%
-3.70%
+2.45%
2020
-1.89%
-6.70%
-12.20%
+6.28%
+5.55%
+3.90%
+3.76%
+4.88%
-1.15%
-4.10%
+11.61%
2019
+6.66%
+4.02%
+1.04%
+2.91%
-4.22%
+6.08%
-1.17%
+2.58%
+3.61%
+2.01%
+1.61%
2018
-4.67%
-0.78%
+1.15%
-1.71%
-0.26%
-1.70%
+0.05%
-8.47%
-0.29%
-10.49%
2017
+3.10%
+3.17%
+3.62%
+4.68%
+2.44%
+0.28%
+1.99%
+2.00%
+1.49%
+0.37%
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