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Election
85.96%
2020
79.15%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.42%
+0.27%
-3.72%
+0.59%
+5.77%
+4.13%
+2.41%
+0.52%
-2.44%
-1.27%
+5.75%
-8.69%
2026
-4.37%
-5.03%
-5.43%
+12.21%
+14.25%
-3.06%
-4.56%
+7.54%
-0.97%
--
2025
+4.98%
-9.13%
-6.35%
-5.23%
+16.10%
+5.78%
+2.91%
+1.83%
+7.24%
+1.78%
-9.55%
-6.04%
2024
-8.91%
+8.99%
+3.84%
-13.44%
+0.73%
+1.53%
+3.29%
-0.17%
+5.08%
+6.56%
+28.38%
2023
+20.65%
-0.52%
+0.83%
-6.72%
+9.42%
+15.70%
+9.63%
-8.23%
-7.48%
-12.98%
+11.35%
+19.81%
2022
-21.26%
-3.47%
-3.00%
-20.52%
-10.28%
-10.59%
+13.02%
-3.24%
+1.31%
-7.20%
-7.52%
2021
+33.12%
+3.74%
-10.49%
-5.13%
+10.73%
-7.00%
-2.95%
-7.09%
+3.03%
-10.62%
-26.87%
+6.34%
-2.27%
-20.02%
+26.10%
+21.89%
+12.44%
+10.75%
+11.00%
-2.63%
-4.57%
+27.75%
+8.52%
2019
+15.18%
+11.55%
+1.62%
+1.91%
-1.64%
+5.88%
+6.38%
-8.67%
-7.18%
+9.22%
-16.29%
2018
+3.85%
+0.97%
-1.92%
+8.81%
+3.60%
-0.71%
+9.46%
-0.73%
-12.66%
+1.26%
-20.43%
2017
+4.60%
-2.16%
+3.76%
+5.54%
+3.57%
-9.62%
-1.38%
+0.37%
+4.17%
+1.19%
-24.36%
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