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Election
86.70%
2020
87.80%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.88%
+0.38%
-2.55%
+1.11%
+0.79%
+1.15%
+2.28%
+0.33%
-0.69%
+0.68%
+5.66%
-4.74%
2026
+4.40%
+0.84%
-5.85%
+5.09%
+2.67%
+1.95%
+2.25%
+1.66%
-2.45%
--
2025
+4.41%
-0.67%
-4.11%
-8.53%
+8.89%
+4.46%
+0.19%
+3.97%
+2.12%
+0.45%
+2.42%
-5.34%
2024
-0.98%
+2.03%
+5.78%
-3.96%
+1.76%
+0.69%
+4.42%
+1.98%
-0.27%
+8.11%
-15.54%
2023
+6.52%
-3.24%
-1.81%
+1.30%
-5.18%
+6.65%
+3.86%
-3.15%
-4.36%
-4.06%
+7.96%
+2.65%
2022
+2.02%
+2.79%
+1.63%
-5.93%
-9.14%
+5.36%
-1.96%
-8.17%
+11.66%
+6.07%
-9.20%
2021
-0.53%
+10.23%
+6.80%
+3.54%
+3.17%
-3.17%
-2.34%
+0.60%
-2.73%
+3.78%
-4.58%
-0.36%
-3.55%
-8.70%
-23.44%
+15.31%
+3.90%
+1.60%
+2.91%
+4.89%
-2.91%
-0.30%
+20.69%
+5.42%
2019
+10.70%
+2.49%
-1.14%
+4.05%
-7.92%
+6.41%
+1.06%
-3.23%
+3.12%
+3.23%
+3.20%
2018
+4.06%
-5.30%
-2.44%
+0.53%
-0.26%
-0.66%
+4.30%
+0.25%
+0.32%
-7.89%
+3.01%
-17.95%
2017
+1.71%
+3.36%
-0.91%
-0.33%
-0.92%
+2.72%
+0.78%
-1.73%
+4.24%
+0.50%
+3.99%
-5.51%
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