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Election
56.35%
2008
63.82%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.25%
-0.82%
-0.43%
+1.65%
+4.65%
+2.64%
+2.75%
+1.85%
-2.30%
-7.29%
+3.99%
-1.25%
2026
+2.29%
-3.70%
-5.07%
+14.28%
+10.28%
-0.42%
-6.83%
+4.02%
-0.13%
--
2025
+2.00%
-2.90%
-7.94%
-8.18%
+19.51%
+6.09%
+2.21%
+0.67%
+5.18%
+4.55%
-1.81%
-2.36%
2024
+1.57%
+5.17%
+0.98%
-4.72%
+6.13%
+5.99%
-1.88%
+0.89%
+2.31%
-75.27%
+4.08%
+0.85%
2023
+10.30%
-0.76%
+9.22%
+0.31%
+7.46%
+6.25%
+3.56%
-1.76%
-5.25%
-2.32%
+10.54%
+5.31%
2022
-8.74%
-4.83%
+3.91%
-13.66%
-1.99%
-9.23%
+12.25%
-5.44%
-10.87%
+3.66%
+5.34%
-9.25%
2021
+0.05%
-0.34%
+1.10%
+5.66%
-1.43%
+6.14%
+2.58%
+4.01%
-5.89%
+7.64%
+1.46%
-2.17%
2020
+2.77%
-6.25%
-7.85%
+14.82%
+6.02%
+6.04%
+7.09%
+10.87%
-5.95%
-3.45%
+3.37%
2019
+8.81%
+2.72%
+3.78%
+5.26%
-8.49%
+7.36%
+2.11%
-2.16%
+0.62%
+4.11%
+3.87%
+2.60%
2018
+8.44%
-1.45%
-4.19%
+0.17%
+5.42%
+0.86%
+2.52%
+5.75%
-0.51%
-8.82%
-0.28%
-9.04%
2017
+4.97%
+4.14%
+1.80%
+2.53%
+3.62%
-2.65%
+3.92%
+1.70%
-0.36%
+4.32%
-0.58%
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