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Election
59.55%
2008
63.53%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.35%
+0.01%
-4.28%
+1.24%
+8.87%
+4.42%
-0.68%
+1.32%
+0.53%
+0.58%
+5.25%
-1.57%
2026
-1.12%
-3.21%
-5.62%
+12.82%
+7.01%
-2.16%
-5.92%
+3.19%
-0.26%
--
2025
+1.83%
-3.47%
-9.18%
-5.08%
+16.19%
+6.36%
+3.49%
+0.66%
+4.26%
+3.40%
-1.93%
-5.61%
2024
+3.34%
+6.72%
+1.95%
-4.55%
+6.34%
+6.83%
-2.51%
+2.14%
+2.97%
-0.79%
+6.14%
-2.61%
2023
+1.75%
+5.93%
+6.66%
+2.23%
-0.70%
-5.63%
-0.86%
+11.53%
+3.51%
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