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Election
78.43%
2020
83.49%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.20%
-2.78%
-3.49%
+2.43%
+1.91%
+1.52%
+2.92%
+8.52%
-7.22%
+3.71%
-0.76%
+2.69%
2026
-21.58%
-47.82%
-11.41%
+7.08%
+42.03%
-3.34%
+19.14%
+39.48%
-11.07%
--
2025
-4.25%
-24.48%
-8.87%
-10.90%
-2.84%
+0.78%
-8.69%
-1.94%
-9.46%
-1.28%
-15.29%
-3.06%
2024
-3.63%
+6.45%
-16.29%
-8.65%
-19.33%
+19.62%
-9.00%
-3.89%
+5.50%
+1.33%
+5.39%
-5.56%
2023
+17.33%
+18.64%
-2.94%
+5.88%
-1.83%
-5.11%
+1.39%
+9.76%
-9.15%
+1.55%
+16.48%
+5.45%
2022
-18.15%
+7.40%
+7.52%
-14.13%
-25.81%
-5.74%
-4.24%
-10.11%
-25.39%
+5.52%
-35.06%
+15.58%
2021
-3.70%
-12.19%
-2.14%
+8.90%
+2.95%
+13.13%
+20.21%
+6.83%
-6.99%
+13.92%
-3.64%
-5.13%
+6.00%
-22.03%
-6.41%
+5.12%
+7.33%
+4.36%
+16.76%
+8.39%
-5.16%
+1.13%
+21.01%
+20.31%
2019
+28.95%
+14.56%
+9.95%
+7.37%
-3.85%
+10.70%
+4.86%
-11.48%
-15.46%
+10.35%
+11.94%
-0.09%
2018
+28.51%
+10.13%
-3.18%
+10.44%
+12.15%
-10.89%
-1.45%
+37.18%
-3.22%
-1.84%
-12.25%
-2.01%
2017
+2.47%
+21.49%
-1.12%
+13.15%
+8.32%
-8.33%
-9.74%
+10.99%
+4.39%
+2.73%
+4.59%
-1.32%
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