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Election
87.05%
2016
84.23%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.55%
-0.40%
-1.11%
+1.52%
+1.83%
+0.75%
+1.58%
+0.44%
-1.01%
-0.74%
+4.10%
-0.88%
2026
+5.58%
+3.91%
-8.14%
+5.37%
+1.21%
+1.51%
+1.43%
+1.26%
-1.59%
--
2025
+4.80%
+2.09%
-0.19%
-0.45%
+9.10%
+2.90%
-3.22%
+4.28%
+1.82%
+0.28%
+0.06%
-0.11%
2024
+0.21%
+3.12%
+3.09%
-3.06%
+4.40%
-0.92%
+3.26%
+1.94%
-5.83%
+0.26%
-5.26%
2023
+8.51%
-3.08%
+2.30%
+2.79%
-3.92%
+4.48%
+2.78%
-2.41%
-3.67%
-2.02%
+9.29%
+2.40%
2022
-4.47%
-3.60%
-0.82%
-6.78%
+1.78%
-8.73%
+5.48%
-5.44%
-8.72%
+4.97%
+13.83%
-4.24%
2021
-1.28%
+2.29%
+2.98%
+3.55%
+4.05%
-0.54%
+0.41%
+1.88%
-2.90%
+3.40%
-4.34%
-0.07%
2020
-7.19%
-14.90%
+6.76%
+4.99%
+4.11%
+2.46%
+4.62%
-3.03%
-4.81%
+14.10%
2019
+6.78%
+2.50%
+2.66%
+5.41%
-2.15%
-1.69%
+2.15%
+2.86%
+1.23%
+3.07%
2018
+4.86%
-5.20%
-0.42%
+2.03%
-1.66%
-0.68%
-1.83%
+0.93%
-7.71%
+1.27%
-6.10%
2017
+3.42%
+1.20%
+3.17%
+2.72%
-0.09%
+3.01%
+0.80%
+2.37%
+2.23%
+1.18%
-0.91%
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