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Election
73.25%
2012
73.69%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.79%
-0.31%
-1.93%
+1.35%
+3.43%
+1.95%
+2.12%
+1.12%
-2.75%
+0.29%
+4.75%
-4.07%
2026
-3.67%
-2.64%
-8.60%
+13.14%
+5.25%
+1.82%
-4.44%
+4.21%
-2.42%
--
2025
+6.99%
-2.63%
-9.70%
-2.32%
+18.53%
+5.14%
-2.60%
+0.95%
-0.32%
+2.74%
-4.57%
-30.22%
2024
+7.19%
+3.03%
-6.64%
+0.98%
+2.25%
-4.03%
+3.79%
+2.27%
-1.51%
+9.67%
-10.04%
2023
+13.61%
-3.07%
+6.07%
-2.39%
+3.42%
+3.54%
+3.61%
-5.87%
-7.76%
-4.40%
+16.14%
+8.07%
2022
-14.36%
-3.77%
-1.56%
-17.68%
-6.13%
-12.32%
+14.29%
-4.60%
-11.44%
+6.88%
+5.83%
-5.82%
2021
-0.33%
+2.26%
-2.96%
+5.04%
-0.84%
+6.15%
+2.90%
+5.02%
-4.73%
+5.99%
-5.69%
-2.51%
2020
+0.22%
-4.84%
-9.97%
+15.51%
+10.82%
+5.65%
+4.30%
+7.51%
+0.91%
-1.89%
+10.04%
+5.42%
2019
+9.64%
+3.15%
+2.57%
+4.00%
-5.01%
+6.70%
+0.41%
-3.33%
-2.14%
+4.27%
+4.47%
+2.89%
2018
+9.23%
-2.15%
-1.25%
+0.04%
+3.26%
-0.22%
+1.64%
+2.01%
-1.83%
-11.66%
+5.50%
-5.74%
2017
+5.59%
+3.39%
+3.07%
+4.77%
+3.98%
+0.82%
+5.11%
+1.51%
+0.25%
+2.20%
+1.32%
+1.31%
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