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Election
59.91%
1996
72.06%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.26%
+0.02%
-1.34%
+2.21%
+4.71%
+3.08%
+2.42%
+2.63%
-1.94%
-1.12%
+4.25%
-6.71%
2026
-1.23%
-2.53%
-5.00%
+10.40%
+5.74%
+0.73%
-8.16%
+3.59%
+1.40%
--
2025
+3.21%
-3.33%
-7.57%
-6.69%
+16.43%
+6.27%
+2.59%
+0.52%
+5.91%
+2.50%
-3.06%
-11.19%
2024
+3.86%
+8.89%
+2.18%
-4.83%
+5.63%
+6.45%
-2.78%
+3.03%
+2.19%
-0.39%
+6.10%
-1.36%
2023
+6.19%
-2.34%
+3.34%
+2.07%
+5.46%
+6.86%
+3.52%
-1.07%
-5.97%
-2.43%
+11.64%
+4.44%
2022
-9.85%
-3.47%
+3.12%
-10.83%
-0.73%
-7.87%
+10.35%
-3.46%
-7.56%
+6.12%
+4.29%
-9.44%
2021
+0.43%
+1.23%
-1.31%
+5.97%
-1.35%
+3.98%
+2.96%
+3.42%
-5.67%
+6.68%
+0.63%
-12.43%
2020
+3.89%
-5.47%
-10.00%
+17.93%
+9.04%
+9.85%
+10.76%
-4.37%
-3.71%
+10.47%
-0.66%
2019
+5.19%
+2.44%
+4.00%
-3.99%
+7.71%
+1.79%
+1.02%
-3.92%
+0.62%
+5.95%
-9.15%
2018
+9.89%
-1.37%
-2.94%
+1.08%
+4.88%
+1.32%
+1.19%
+6.96%
+0.91%
-10.47%
-0.52%
-20.65%
2017
+5.48%
+3.37%
+2.34%
+6.03%
-0.59%
+2.86%
+1.54%
-9.04%
+2.71%
+0.03%
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