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Election
84.33%
2000
83.37%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.39%
-0.40%
-0.58%
+0.60%
+1.77%
+1.04%
+2.00%
+0.94%
-1.39%
+0.26%
+3.17%
-5.18%
2026
+0.97%
-0.18%
-3.70%
+6.28%
+3.39%
-0.96%
-0.60%
+1.80%
-0.79%
--
2025
+1.79%
-0.31%
-3.78%
-5.16%
+7.93%
+3.19%
+1.21%
+1.59%
+2.45%
+0.33%
-10.92%
2024
+0.90%
+2.67%
+2.02%
-3.88%
+3.15%
+3.26%
+1.64%
+2.14%
+1.70%
-1.81%
+4.29%
-12.84%
2023
+4.78%
-2.81%
+3.21%
+1.06%
-0.27%
+3.33%
+1.73%
-1.26%
-4.35%
-2.12%
+7.71%
-2.35%
2022
-4.24%
-2.27%
+0.82%
-6.82%
+0.15%
-5.43%
+5.99%
-3.59%
-6.90%
+4.12%
+4.34%
-8.06%
2021
-1.21%
+1.13%
+2.16%
+3.76%
+0.44%
+1.75%
+1.92%
+1.89%
-3.66%
+4.44%
-0.22%
-3.18%
2020
+1.08%
-3.89%
-6.04%
+8.01%
+2.92%
+3.89%
+3.87%
-2.70%
-1.80%
+6.81%
2019
+5.54%
+1.69%
+1.48%
+2.11%
-2.74%
+3.90%
+0.72%
+0.32%
+0.31%
+1.05%
+1.86%
-0.11%
2018
+3.13%
-2.50%
0.00%
+1.81%
+0.18%
+2.29%
+2.33%
-0.23%
-4.65%
-8.10%
2017
+1.18%
+2.43%
-0.16%
+0.68%
+0.87%
+0.10%
+0.28%
+0.85%
+1.31%
-0.12%
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