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Election
77.85%
2008
85.38%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.83%
-0.04%
-3.24%
+0.89%
+1.94%
+2.24%
+2.81%
+0.29%
-1.69%
+0.26%
+4.77%
-9.18%
2026
+4.29%
+1.37%
-6.50%
+8.81%
+1.01%
+6.26%
-0.88%
+0.18%
-3.26%
--
2025
+3.68%
-4.67%
-7.26%
-8.85%
+12.78%
+2.97%
+0.72%
+4.90%
-1.54%
-1.33%
+0.94%
-14.68%
2024
-3.32%
+5.36%
+3.09%
-5.99%
+4.13%
-1.47%
+7.02%
+0.86%
+0.75%
-2.01%
+10.31%
-16.10%
2023
+9.01%
-1.13%
-4.18%
-1.73%
-2.07%
+8.69%
+4.40%
-3.67%
-5.79%
-6.39%
+7.08%
+3.19%
2022
-7.94%
-0.54%
+0.11%
-7.68%
+0.65%
-7.21%
+9.48%
-2.77%
-8.31%
+12.49%
+3.57%
-9.94%
2021
+2.27%
+6.85%
+3.20%
+3.24%
+0.13%
-0.31%
-0.35%
+1.82%
-3.45%
+4.84%
-3.15%
-10.78%
2020
-4.19%
-9.95%
-20.31%
+14.20%
+6.44%
+2.06%
+5.05%
+4.42%
+3.41%
+15.69%
+4.52%
2019
+11.30%
+4.49%
-1.65%
+4.31%
-8.15%
+7.69%
+0.23%
-4.86%
+3.59%
+1.76%
+4.16%
-3.49%
2018
+2.51%
-3.99%
+0.88%
+1.19%
+5.81%
+1.44%
-1.35%
-11.08%
+2.41%
-26.89%
2017
+0.74%
+1.78%
+0.21%
-1.37%
+2.31%
+0.70%
-1.70%
+5.58%
+0.62%
+1.96%
-8.43%
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