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Election
75.09%
2008
75.49%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.35%
+0.07%
-2.49%
+1.83%
+3.32%
+2.43%
+2.47%
+1.62%
-2.02%
+0.03%
+4.37%
-2.93%
2026
+3.82%
-0.48%
-5.38%
+12.14%
+4.39%
+3.26%
-5.83%
+3.80%
-2.80%
--
2025
+5.07%
-7.44%
-5.90%
-6.55%
+14.20%
+5.28%
+1.86%
+4.29%
+2.44%
+2.08%
-0.80%
-11.53%
2024
-1.86%
+9.04%
+2.40%
-5.59%
+3.95%
-0.91%
+3.50%
+2.09%
+0.63%
-1.64%
+10.03%
-13.02%
2023
+8.96%
-2.01%
-0.49%
-2.45%
-0.60%
+8.19%
+2.34%
-1.19%
-6.01%
-5.01%
+10.04%
+6.02%
2022
-14.12%
+0.83%
+1.04%
-10.32%
-2.79%
-7.69%
+10.35%
-3.15%
-8.14%
+8.77%
+1.29%
-6.42%
2021
+2.49%
+3.01%
-2.64%
+5.53%
-2.46%
+3.47%
+1.24%
+2.67%
-2.55%
+6.52%
-4.26%
+0.74%
2020
+0.88%
-8.90%
-15.41%
+17.75%
+12.44%
+3.90%
+5.94%
+2.51%
-4.59%
-0.53%
+12.78%
+10.36%
2019
+10.57%
-2.04%
+5.83%
-5.18%
+6.22%
+1.76%
-5.12%
-0.21%
+6.10%
-0.07%
2018
+5.01%
-0.54%
+2.16%
+0.69%
+8.43%
+1.26%
+2.29%
+10.63%
-1.81%
-11.85%
+1.90%
-12.56%
2017
+2.64%
+0.64%
+1.35%
+1.28%
+0.87%
+1.30%
+1.25%
-0.35%
+4.32%
+2.22%
+0.11%
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